Ecuador — World Cup 2026 Prediction
Europe-based core (Caicedo, Sarmiento, Pacho, Hincapié). 1.92 xG per match but only 3 wins — clinical finishing is the swing factor on a manageable bracket.
Ecuador ratings & odds
FIFA ranking #25, Elo 1935, 85% probability of advancing from the group and 1.2% to lift the trophy. Bracket difficulty 5.5/10.
Ecuador squad, travel & bracket path
Projected group-stage travel of 5100 km. Injury status: Squad fully fit. Finished: Round of 32. Confederation: CONMEBOL.