EdgePicks AI

USA — World Cup 2026 Prediction

Co-host edge and the lightest travel burden in the tournament. Pochettino's USMNT are 6W-1D-3L behind the Pulisic–Reyna–Balogun–Weah core; model favourite to break the CONCACAF QF ceiling.

USA ratings & odds

FIFA ranking #16, Elo 1820, 96% probability of advancing from the group and 2.4% to lift the trophy. Bracket difficulty 5.6/10.

USA squad, travel & bracket path

Projected group-stage travel of 3200 km. Injury status: Squad fully fit. Finished: Round of 16. Confederation: CONCACAF.